Can Your Risk Assessment Stand Up Under Scrutiny?

2024 Cybersecurity Predictions


 

What better way to diagnose a failed security program than to point at an inferior assessment of risk? If an organization omits or misjudges a critical risk, then the decisions that flow from that finding will be incorrect.

A problem with standardizing risk assessment is that the measurement of relevant risk is going to vary significantly from organization to organization, with different priorities, trade-offs, and tolerances affecting the analysis. However, the question remains: can your risk assessment withstand outside scrutiny? If you get unlucky and hacked, how is your organization’s risk assessment going to fare when regulators and lawyers scrutinize it page by page?

Your strategy should be to develop a risk assessment that appears reasonable and appropriate to hazards, threats, and potential impacts on your systems. The FTC came down hard on Abbot Labs because they manufacture medical devices, so impacts can include loss of life and breach of medical privacy. A more thorough risk assessment would be expected in this environment rather than of an IT office equipment vendor.

A defensible risk assessment should be:

  • Standardized. The method should be as formal as possible so that given the same data, someone could reproduce the same results. The same method should be used for the same type of risk assessment.
  • Relevant. The right risk modeling technique should be chosen for your organization’s industry, possible impacts, and threat environment. It should also be current—the standard is to perform them at least once a year.
  • Explicit. Assumptions, trade-offs, estimates, and conclusions should be clearly documented. An auditor or regulator should be able to trace your line of reasoning in decisions made.

A risk assessment must also be read and used to manage the risk it identifies. A thick, beautifully detailed risk report that sits on the shelf is not only useless, but a clear indicator of negligence. Imagine a regulator asking you, “You knew about this risk, but why didn’t you do anything about it?” Acting on a risk assessment also means verifying that the risk was reduced by an active risk management process. In the same letter to Abbot Labs, the FTC also reprimanded them by saying:

“Your firm conducted a risk assessment and a corrective action outside of your CAPA system. Your firm did not confirm all required corrective and preventive actions were completed, including a full root cause investigation and the identification of actions to correct and prevent recurrence of potential cybersecurity vulnerabilities, as required by your CAPA procedures.”

 

No one wants to have these things said about their security program. I see this as a warning shot across the bow for all organizations: clean up your risk assessment processes and make sure you act on the results.



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  What better way to diagnose a failed security program than to point at an inferior assessment of risk? If an organization omits or misjudges a critical risk, then the decisions that flow from that finding will be incorrect. A problem with standardizing risk assessment is that the measurement of relevant risk is going to…

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